Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.002663 0.002847 0.003046 0.003277 0.003540 0.003833 0.004187
2024-10-20 0.002304 0.002538 0.002803 0.003132 0.003533 0.004018 0.004661
2024-10-27 0.002117 0.002386 0.002704 0.003118 0.003656 0.004354 0.005374
2024-11-03 0.001891 0.002158 0.002483 0.002918 0.003505 0.004305 0.005551
2024-11-10 0.001807 0.002094 0.002453 0.002951 0.003656 0.004679 0.006422
2024-11-17 0.001748 0.002054 0.002445 0.003008 0.003841 0.005130 0.007555
2024-11-24 0.001669 0.001979 0.002385 0.002982 0.003899 0.005388 0.008436
2024-12-01 0.001630 0.001955 0.002388 0.003045 0.004096 0.005917 0.010090
2024-12-08 0.001572 0.001900 0.002345 0.003033 0.004168 0.006235 0.011451
2024-12-15 0.001508 0.001833 0.002279 0.002979 0.004163 0.006402 0.012528
2024-12-22 0.001485 0.001821 0.002289 0.003043 0.004369 0.007046 0.015527
2024-12-29 0.001460 0.001804 0.002292 0.003096 0.004561 0.007715 0.019496
2025-01-05 0.001410 0.001752 0.002242 0.003064 0.004601 0.008083 0.023079
2025-01-12 0.001342 0.001672 0.002146 0.002948 0.004466 0.007983 0.024252
2025-01-19 0.001306 0.001636 0.002116 0.002941 0.004548 0.008488 0.030549
2025-01-26 0.001232 0.001541 0.001991 0.002762 0.004257 0.007888 0.027548
2025-02-02 0.001211 0.001525 0.001987 0.002793 0.004409 0.008603 0.038163
2025-02-09 0.001197 0.001517 0.001994 0.002845 0.004614 0.009581 0.061956
2025-02-16 0.001167 0.001484 0.001962 0.002822 0.004648 0.010025 0.088041
2025-02-23 0.001156 0.001479 0.001972 0.002879 0.004878 0.011314 0.259085
2025-03-02 0.001132 0.001454 0.001948 0.002868 0.004941 0.012001 1.308059
2025-03-09 0.001102 0.001418 0.001905 0.002819 0.004904 0.012243 NaN
2025-03-16 0.001094 0.001416 0.001918 0.002877 0.005153 0.014030 NaN